Canada Election 2006 - Minor Party Results

Posted by Bryan on January 26, 2006 with category tags of Weblog

3 comments

There were definitely no Marxist-Leninists on the ballot in my riding. I think that was an Elections Canada mix-up. I believe the Animal Alliance Environment Voters Party of Canada, with its 75 votes, was the worst result of any political party, federal or provincial, in the history of Canada. I wonder if it is the worst result of any national-level, official political party in the history of western democracy? Anyone? Speaking of surprise election results, how is it that Hamas won? I thought most of their supporters blew themselves up.    → comment by chrisdye on January 26, 2006 Based on our canvassing where we had strong campaigns the Progressive Canadian support is far less than it should have been due to a last minute flood to the Liberals to stop Harper's Conservatives. Our growth in support is very much understated by our voter turnout due to the re-run of "fear factor" that played out on election night. The loss that we suffered there is a far more important issue. I could conclusively demonstrate where this hit us. Where there was no stop Harper "wave" our new candidates with no budgets and modest campaigns easily outdid our national average vote. In areas where every vote went to block Harper's Conservative we lost heavily to strategic voting -- even when we had canvass or poll numbers that showed us as serious contenders for the vote. And you have to know what a realist I am to know that this isn't "spin" or "fantasizing". We had solid vote that moved strategically. This strategic voting is unfortunate, but its a fact of life in elections. That, I would submit, is the real factor in understating our true growth. I've heard this old chestnut about voter confusion in two elections now and I have trouble with it. Could it happen? Certainly. For the few people who have no idea who they are voting for who actually go out to vote, and who, in the face of a multi-million dollar advertising campaign on TV, radio and print, don't know the difference. On that basis, however, some people voted Libertarian when they meant to vote Liberal. And Jim Harris Harris (Green) picked up votes from my supporters who didn't remember Jim Love as the Progressive Canadian (PC) party candidate and just voted for some guy named Jim. As a party, it's equaly likely that we lost votes from the unknown number of months where a Conservative supporter used a common typo in our full party name to divert traffic to the Conservative web site. Our complaints to the Conservatives went unanswered so this took us months to track down the person ourselves. We have no idea what the impact of that was on our vote. It could easily be as high, or higher than this mythical voter confusion. I won't bore you with the details of our own analysis, but our numbers show that there is no material advantage gained by us as a result of the confusion. Not that anyone who came in wanting to vote for the old PCs without knowing the candidate would be wrong in voting for us. We have the same constitution as the former federal Progressive Conservative Party, the same principles and the same socialy progressive and fiscally responsible, centrist views that the party had under Robert Stanfield and Joe Clark. We are, as I like to say, all of the best of not only what the federal party was, but also what it could have been. But as I said, we've heard this -- we dont see it turn up in our numbers in any meaningful way. Otherwise, a very nice analysis. Thanks. Jim Love President Progressive Canadian (PC) Party www.progressivecanadian.ca    → comment by Jim Love on January 28, 2006 I would like to disagree with Jim Love. Here in Trinity-Spadina, the vote for the PC party dropped from 531 to 392. There certainly wasn't any strategic voting against the Conservative candidate in this riding. Additionally, the PC party got just 4 votes out 1314 cast in the special balloting. Since they are write-in ballots without party identification, this suggests that nearly half of the votes that the PC Party received were from confused voters who thought they were voting for the former Progressive Conservative party.    → comment by David Simpson on February 3, 2006

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