UK election prediction We've predicted Canada and the US; why not someplace where only some of us have any idea what goes on?
The British House of Commons has 650 seats (529 in England, 40 in Wales, 59 in Scotland and 18 in Northern Ireland). There are many minor parties that can win a few seats with less than 2% of the vote. The categories for this contest will simply be "Conservatives", "Labour", "Liberal Democrats", and "Other". (If you want to specify the "Other", you are welcome to, but it won't count in who has the best prediction).
| Cons: 330|
Lib Dems: 115
You heard it here, folks: Conservatives eke out a suprise majority, Labour has its worst result since before the War, lots of fringe crazies get elected.
| Cons: 218|
Lib Dems: 94
(NB. There are only 646 seats in the UK Parliament.)
I just don't believe Labour will lose *that* many seats, especially not to the hated Tories -- who stand to benefit from Brown-haters far less than the Lib Dems.
But what do I know? I haven't even lived in Britain for nine years.
| Boundary changes have increased the number of seats by 4 since the last election.|
| Well your own bloody maff says otherwise, mate:|
"(529 in England, 40 in Wales, 59 in Scotland and 18 in Northern Ireland)"
Though I concede that you are, in fact, correct. See what I mean about being out of touch?
| In the spirit of compromise, I will predict the halfway between your two predictions:|
Lib Dems: 104
(I rounded Labour up and Lib Dem down...)
Totaling 648, the compromise between your two claims of total seats.
| I think Gil might clinch it.|
| Assuming the last seat being contested today goes to the Tories:|
Chris: 166 seats off in total
Me: 170 seats off in total
Gil: 106 seats off in total
Hooray for the spirit of compromise!
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