Bryan?

Super Tuesday calls?

As a Bay Stater I'm going to say MA will go Romney and Obama. Overall Obama will finish with more delegates than Hillary but not enough to secure the nomination. McCain will beat out Romney, with Huckabee finishing a respectable but hopeless third.

Posted by goodladd on February 5, 2008 with category tags of

17 comments
Montreal 5 Ottawa 3 (with an empty net goal). Now that's super!
   comment by vinny9 (#33) on February 5, 2008

Ugh, I don't know. They were playing with terrific confidence against Pittsburgh, Washington, Boston, Long Island-- but the other night against the Rangers, they ended the game looking like a bunch of Whalers with their fins cut off. I fear they will get pounded tonight until the "K"s are knocked out of their last names.

(I was going to say they'd be "shellacked to Halak", but I see he got demoted.)
   comment by chrisdye (#15) on February 5, 2008

Maybe I'll have time for a state-by-state rundown later, but the biggie, California, will go to Obama and McCain.
   comment by Bryan (#22) on February 5, 2008

Damn! The Democrats are threatening time itself!

"Barack is a friend of mine," [Hillary Clinton] said. "He'll be a friend of mine when this is over no matter what happens … one of us will change history."
   comment by vinny9 (#33) on February 5, 2008

Alabama: Obama / Huckabee

Alaska: Obama / Paul

American Samoa: Clinton

Arizona: Clinton / McCain

Arkansas: Clinton / Huckabee

California: Obama / McCain

Colorado: Obama / Romney

Connecticut: Obama / McCain

Delaware: Clinton / McCain

Democrats Abroad: Clinton

Georgia: Obama / Huckabee

Idaho: Clinton / n.a.

Illinois: Obama / McCain

Kansas: Obama / n.a.

Massachusetts: Clinton / Romney

Minnesota: Clinton / McCain

Missouri: Obama / McCain

Montana: n.a / Romney

New Jersey: Clinton / McCain

New Mexico: Obama / n.a.

New York: Clinton / McCain

North Dakota: Obama / McCain

Oklahoma: Clinton / McCain

Tennessee: Clinton / Huckabee

Utah: Obama / Romney

West Virginia: n.a. / Huckabee (already won)
   comment by Bryan (#22) on February 5, 2008

i dunno, i was saying to bryan yesterday that i kinda have a bad feeling about this. in other words, i don't think obama's surge is actually going to translate into him kicking any ass. i can't help but suspect that hill will still be just that little bit ahead, translating to more states won, more delegates, and ultimately the momentum to carry her to the nomination.

hope i'm wrong, though, and my first gut instinct from whiles ago proves correct!
   comment by sean on February 5, 2008

whoa, early exit polls are showing bigtime Obama!
   comment by sean on February 5, 2008

It's true, he's winning in a few states, but the results are deceptive. Hillary is actually leading by about 5% in most of the states, and that's before New York.

Obama has been good at capitalizing on well-timed successes, but Clinton has been consistently more popular in nationwide polls. If Hillary had gotten any delegates for Michegan and Florida, this race wouldn't seem nearly as close. Obama has been catching up, for sure, but he can't win if he isn't ahead on voting day.
   comment by chrisdye (#15) on February 5, 2008

Neck in neck competition is fun, I just wish the differences would be more important than their physical attributes. Where's my (hot)underdog?
   comment by Mirzipan (#99) on February 5, 2008

How is Al Franken doing in the Minnesota Senate caucuses? There are other primary races going on.
   comment by Mirzipan (#99) on February 5, 2008

Romney is getting killed. Obama is doing well.
   comment by Bryan (#22) on February 5, 2008

argh, but Missouri, the Predictor State, goes to Clinton. :(
   comment by sean on February 5, 2008

Clinton is looking strong in California.
   comment by Bryan (#22) on February 5, 2008

Habs win 4-3! The vinny9 prediction machine keeps rolling!

@12:36am, I'm going with Clinton taking California and a sizeable overall lead. However, it will be close enough that Obama might be able to spin it into a tightening race, sweep up some bonus delegates in the remaining primaries and it will come down to the superdelegates at the convention itself.
   comment by vinny9 (#33) on February 6, 2008

Missouri went back to Obama. If it goes to the superdelegates at the convention I'm going to predict it goes his way. The man is a force of nature when he stands before a crowd, Clinton doesn't have charisma that comes even close to it.

Go Habs!
   comment by LePhil on February 6, 2008

"The bottom line is that the two are virtually tied."
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0208/8358.html
   comment by Mirzipan (#99) on February 6, 2008

"In Missouri, the race was so close the two candidates split the state's 72 delegates evenly." Source: McCain, Clinton lead delegate count. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/super_tuesday_delegates
   comment by Mirzipan (#99) on February 6, 2008

   

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